Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.119361e+00 1.388741 1.685547 2.033886 2.428563 2.859058 3.361280
2025-06-08 7.383939e-01 1.085607 1.509942 2.053274 2.717276 3.489865 4.444054
2025-06-15 5.376280e-01 0.931444 1.460727 2.190236 3.136678 4.292267 5.778535
2025-06-22 3.829732e-01 0.788558 1.387870 2.272168 3.480903 5.017289 7.058798
2025-06-29 2.654657e-01 0.659197 1.300338 2.309826 3.756315 5.660211 8.260463
2025-07-06 1.700721e-01 0.527531 1.176027 2.267909 3.906557 6.135769 9.258216
2025-07-13 1.149020e-01 0.446011 1.110802 2.297542 4.148438 6.734214 10.428766
2025-07-20 7.545833e-02 0.376565 1.048163 2.316900 4.367644 7.302145 11.569275
2025-07-27 4.331644e-02 0.300964 0.952795 2.264300 4.466465 7.697002 12.479361
2025-08-03 2.306106e-02 0.239808 0.868085 2.214251 4.558310 8.077371 13.372492
2025-08-10 1.265495e-02 0.201605 0.822473 2.226308 4.744950 8.596866 14.467971
2025-08-17 5.164180e-03 0.158196 0.748555 2.171464 4.812926 8.937105 15.312824
2025-08-24 2.796769e-03 0.144502 0.751704 2.273730 5.156973 9.713168 16.814328
2025-08-31 8.479868e-04 0.119196 0.711767 2.281002 5.336626 10.243573 17.974214
2025-09-07 3.782731e-04 0.113645 0.732609 2.420684 5.755234 11.154587 19.707784
2025-09-14 7.769047e-05 0.102054 0.728758 2.504443 6.076617 11.921168 21.243202
2025-09-21 7.231611e-07 0.087168 0.706425 2.542612 6.315541 12.562486 22.604123
2025-09-28 NaN 0.067093 0.651916 2.496769 6.394899 12.949630 23.591811
2025-10-05 NaN 0.056319 0.630727 2.527852 6.617707 13.570355 24.937840
2025-10-12 NaN 0.046433 0.606928 2.548223 6.818879 14.158215 26.241095
2025-10-19 NaN 0.033888 0.556886 2.491917 6.866361 14.493101 27.163518
2025-10-26 NaN 0.024138 0.511102 2.438386 6.913816 14.826120 28.085639
2025-11-02 NaN 0.018896 0.490226 2.451223 7.093725 15.382889 29.359040